Communicating Risk and Uncertainty – Professor Sir David Spieghalter, Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, Statistical Laboratory, University of Cambridge

November 12, 2019 @ 6:00 pm – 7:30 pm
Pfizer Lecture Theatre
Department of Chemistry, Lensfield Road
Krishna Amin

How do we think, and how do we feel about risk? We are faced with claims of both a reproducibility crisis in scientific publication, and of a ‘post-truth’ society, in which emotional responses dominate over balanced consideration of evidence. This presents a strong challenge to those who value quantitative and scientific evidence: how can we communicate risks and unavoidable scientific uncertainty in a transparent and trustworthy way? In this talk, Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter discusses the alternative verbal, numerical and graphical means of communicating uncertainty. Professor Spiegelhalter is a distinguished statistician and a born communicator, as seen in the BBC’s _Tails You Win: The Science of Chance_. He is currently the President of the Royal Statistical Society, and the Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk in the Statistical Laboratory at the University of Cambridge.